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The Hardeep War

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The Hardeep War

Postby mookiemcgee on Fri Sep 22, 2023 11:41 am

I'm too lazy to start a new thread, andsince we have several intelligent Canadians in this thread already... one of you ELI5 the situation with India?

Basic facts i already understand:
A sikh elected official in the canadian govt who was born in Canada and was Canadian was killed a few months ago. It's recently come to light through intelligence sharing that elected officials in the Indian gov't were involved in the murder and it may go as high as Mohdi.

Add some layers for me, this seems like one of the bigger news stories to hit canada in a minute
Last edited by mookiemcgee on Fri Sep 22, 2023 1:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The Hardeep War

Postby Dukasaur on Fri Sep 22, 2023 1:19 pm

mookiemcgee wrote:I'm too lazy to start a new thread, and since we have several intelligent Canadians in this thread already... one of you ELI5 the situation with India?

I split the thread for you. I'm invested in that other thread and thought this deserved its own.

I gave your thread a temporary title just to aid in identification. I admit it's not great -- feel free to change it.

mookiemcgee wrote:Basic facts i already understand:
A sikh elected official in the canadian govt who was born in Canada and was Canadian was killed a few months ago. It's recently come to light through intelligence sharing that elected officials in the Indian gov't were involved in the murder and it may go as high as Mohdi.

Add some layers for me, this seems like one of the bigger news stories to hit canada in a minute

Hardeep Singh
Hardeep Singh Niijar is the murdered man in question. He was NOT an official in the Canadian government, although he had back-door connections with politicians. He was a self-employed plumbing contractor and seems to have been fairly well off but not extraordinarily wealthy. His main claim to fame was as a local organizer and fundraiser for various Sikh religious and political organizations.

It is alleged by the Indian government that Niijar was an organizer of the Khalistan Tigers, a militant Sikh independence movement considered a terrorist organization by India.

This is the basic problem with these militant independence movements. Like the IRA or the PLO or the ANC, where do you draw the line between legitimate freedom fighters and terrorists? Most often it's just political expedience (Haganah=good, Hezbollah=evil). Ties always exist between similarly minded groups, some of which engage in terrorist activities and some of which don't. There's probably an impartial way to classify them, but that's too big a topic for now.

Are the Khalistan Tigers a terrorist organization? Only the Indian government has classified them as such. However, there's no doubt there were people in the Tigers who were tied to Dal Khalsa, another Sikh independence group which definitely has engaged in terrorist acts, specifically the downing of Flight 423.

Sikhs in Canada
Sikhs are a fairly important minority in Canadian politics. The story of the Sikhs reads much like the story of the Jews: a persecuted minority that has learned to stick together and help each other move up in the world, has really strong and distinct community organizations, and thereby punches well above its weight in influence.

Quite a few members of parliament are Sikhs, several cabinet ministers, and right now even the leader of one of the opposition parties. They're an important minority to woo if you're in politics.

Of course some of them are pro-Sikh independence back home, just like many of our Irish citizens support Sinn Fein, etc.

Trudeau and Modi
Trudeau and Modi are like fire and water. Trudeau is pretty much the poster boy for everything non-liberals hate about liberals: a bleeding heart who gushes crocodile tears and spews out voluminous apologies to everyone on earth who has ever been mistreated by anyone else. Modi is pretty much the poster boy for everything non-conservatives hate about conservatives: a nationalist and religionist bigot who wants India to be a unitarian Hindu state and thinks India's many minorities should just crawl into a hole somewhere and die. These two guys can't agree whether it's night or day, not that I would believe either one of them myself.

Trudeau's official visit to India in 2018 was a diplomatic disaster. His wife was in love with the many cultures of India, and somebody in his office thought it would be great to dress them up in local costumes, a practice that was universally mocked around the world. More importantly, he had several meetings with people who were on Modi's shit list, including a couple Sikhs who are associated with Sikh independence movements.

It really hasn't gotten any better since then. India and Canada have been pretty much on the opposite side of every issue since then.

The recent G20 meeting was typical. Trudeau was the only leader that didn't have a private meeting with Modi. Modi torpedoed Trudeau's proposed statement of Solidarity with Ukraine, while Trudeau snubbed the Global Biofuels Alliance, a pet project of Modi's. Predictably, the two sniped at each other about Sikh independence. To wrap up the humiliating fiasco, Trudeau's plane broke down on the way home, and he had to spend an extra day in a country that made no effort to make him feel welcome.

The Cold War Cometh
It was almost common knowledge among the Five Eyes that India murdered Hardeep Singh. Still, nobody did anything about it, partly because he was no angel and probably is guilty of the things India accuses him of, partly because acting on it would reveal sensitive information we don't want brought to light. (For instance, I saw an article today that said our knowledge of the murder is based on our spying on the Indian embassy, spying we shouldn't be admitting we do.)

Why did Trudeau start pushing it?

Partly it's political pandering: Trudeau is in deep shit politically. With an election coming soon (within a year for sure, but possibly sooner) his popularity is at an all-time low. Making sure the Sikhs are on board politically would go a long way to shoring up Liberal votes in sensitive areas like Vancouver in the west and the 905 in the centre.

But partly I think the relations between Trudeau and Modi have now risen beyond dislike to actual outright hatred. I think we're at a point where Trudeau (for sure) and Modi (possibly) are willing to fight just for the sake of fighting and the goals are no longer entirely logical. We're now expelling diplomats, cancelling trade talks, and heading towards an actual Cold War.
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Re: The Hardeep War

Postby Lonous on Fri Sep 22, 2023 1:52 pm

Just blurping in here for a couple points on the long term picture which some may not know.

While the U.S. likes to paint itself as the main Nemesis to China and its march towards global #1 superpower, China doesn't see the U.S. as anything more than a high tech speedbump as it pursues its goals. India is China's longterm adversary for the region, and China has pursued a slow moving strategy dubbed String of Pearls by U.S. analysts.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/String_of ... dian_Ocean)

China has been building new roads and railways to it's border with India, a move that has sparked concern with India. There was a skirmish a few years back where China killed a couple dozen Indian soldiers.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-53061476

China is also funding various separatists movements inside India.
https://thediplomat.com/2020/12/china-a ... st-report/

If China believes it can make use of the Sikhs then they are probably already funding them, both inside India and aboard.

All that for a wider focus on the ongoing tensions, here an interesting write up about the Hardeep killing by Aljazeera, which isn't western, Chinese, nor Indian.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/9/2 ... ngh-nijjar
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Re: The Hardeep War

Postby bigtoughralf on Fri Sep 22, 2023 4:10 pm

Dukasaur wrote:Quite a few members of parliament are Sikhs, several cabinet ministers, and right now even the leader of one of the opposition parties. They're an important minority to woo if you're in politics.

Of course some of them are pro-Sikh independence back home, just like many of our Irish citizens support Sinn Fein, etc.


Not really. An Indian diaspora living in Canada and supporting Khalistan Tigers is like an Irish diaspora living in North America and supporting the provisional IRA. It's misty eyed romanticising of a conflict they'll never have to get within 1,000 miles of, and generally reserved to idiots and exiled terrorists.

Modi is a man-breasted genocidal maniac but Khalistan independence in general has pretty low support within India these days, and the violence groups like the Tigers used to bring down certainly has minimal support.

If this dead dude was indeed an organiser of the Khalistan Tigers, this assassination is like the US carrying out its illegal overseas assassinations of al-Qaeda members, Iranian military leaders, and anyone else it deems contrary to its security interests.

Trudeau doesn't complain about those though (or the US using Canada as a refuelling strip in its torture black site prisoner transport runs) because just like Modi he doesn't care about a few dead Muslims.
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Re: The Hardeep War

Postby jusplay4fun on Fri Sep 22, 2023 4:15 pm

Lonous wrote:Just blurping in here for a couple points on the long term picture which some may not know.

While the U.S. likes to paint itself as the main Nemesis to China and its march towards global #1 superpower, China doesn't see the U.S. as anything more than a high tech speedbump as it pursues its goals. India is China's longterm adversary for the region, and China has pursued a slow moving strategy dubbed String of Pearls by U.S. analysts.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/String_of ... dian_Ocean)

China has been building new roads and railways to it's border with India, a move that has sparked concern with India. There was a skirmish a few years back where China killed a couple dozen Indian soldiers.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-53061476

China is also funding various separatists movements inside India.
https://thediplomat.com/2020/12/china-a ... st-report/

If China believes it can make use of the Sikhs then they are probably already funding them, both inside India and aboard.

All that for a wider focus on the ongoing tensions, here an interesting write up about the Hardeep killing by Aljazeera, which isn't western, Chinese, nor Indian.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/9/2 ... ngh-nijjar


This dispute between China and India goes back further than 2000:

What's the source of tension?

The root cause is an ill-defined, 3,440km (2,100-mile)-long disputed border.

Rivers, lakes and snowcaps along the frontier mean the line can shift, bringing soldiers face to face at many points, sparking a confrontation.

The two nations are also competing to build infrastructure along the border, which is also known as the Line of Actual Control. India's construction of a new road to a high-altitude air base is seen as one of the main triggers for a deadly 2020 clash with Chinese troops.

How bad is the situation?
Despite military-level talks, tensions continue. In December 2022 troops clashed for the first time in more than a year.

It happened near the Tawang sector of Arunachal Pradesh state, the eastern tip of India. Some soldiers suffered minor injuries.

De-escalation work has taken place since a major clash in June 2020. The Galwan Valley battle - fought with sticks and clubs, not guns - was the first fatal confrontation between the two sides since 1975.

At least 20 Indian and four Chinese soldiers died.

Another face-off in January 2021 left troops on both sides injured. It took place near India's Sikkim state, between Bhutan and Nepal.

(...)

What's the bigger picture?
The two countries have fought only one war, in 1962, when India suffered a humiliating defeat.

But simmering tensions involve the risk of escalation - and that can be devastating given both sides are established nuclear powers. There would also be economic fallout as China is one of India's biggest trading partners.

The military stand-off is mirrored by growing political tension, which has strained ties between Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Observers say talks are the only way forward because both countries have much to lose.


https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-53062484

There is a good map of the region in the article, too.
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Re: The Hardeep War

Postby bigtoughralf on Fri Sep 22, 2023 5:22 pm

You guys could stub your toe on the coffee table and your instinct would be to blame the Chinese government.
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Re: The Hardeep War

Postby Lonous on Fri Sep 22, 2023 5:38 pm

The coffee table is probably toxic, made with Uyghur slave labor, and contains a hidden transmitter linked to Tiktok. f*ck em.
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Re: The Hardeep War

Postby Dukasaur on Sun Dec 03, 2023 4:23 pm

Now spreading to the U.S.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/11/29/indian-official-directed-plot-to-assassinate-sikh-activist-on-us-soil-doj
Authorities in the United States have said that an Indian government official directed a failed plot to assassinate a Sikh separatist on US soil, as they announced charges against a man accused of orchestrating the attempted murder.

On Wednesday, federal prosecutors said that Nikhil Gupta, a 52-year-old Indian man, had worked with an Indian government intelligence and security worker in a clandestine effort to kill a Sikh activist in New York.
Authorities in the United States have said that an Indian government official directed a failed plot to assassinate a Sikh separatist on US soil, as they announced charges against a man accused of orchestrating the attempted murder.

On Wednesday, federal prosecutors said that Nikhil Gupta, a 52-year-old Indian man, had worked with an Indian government intelligence and security worker in a clandestine effort to kill a Sikh activist in New York.


Al Jazz failed to name the alleged victim, but the BBC did.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-67570007
While the target was not named by prosecutors, US media reported it was Gurpatwant Singh Pannun, a dual US-Canadian citizen and member of a US-based Sikh separatist group.

"Is India ready to face the consequences of using trans-national terrorism?" Mr Pannun said to the BBC's Asian Network about the alleged plot.
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Re: The Hardeep War

Postby bigtoughralf on Sun Dec 03, 2023 6:05 pm

tbf unless American politicians are making a fuss about that then it's so far only on the public record due to being a criminal court case.

US politicians criticising other governments for conducting extraterritorial assassinations would be quite something.
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Re: The Hardeep War

Postby Dukasaur on Sun Dec 03, 2023 7:08 pm

bigtoughralf wrote:tbf unless American politicians are making a fuss about that then it's so far only on the public record due to being a criminal court case.

US politicians criticising other governments for conducting extraterritorial assassinations would be quite something.


Well, it's kinda like spying on your allies.

Everybody does it, but still a major embarrassment if you get caught.
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Re: The Hardeep War

Postby saxitoxin on Mon Dec 04, 2023 12:02 am

Dukasaur wrote:Everybody does it, but still a major embarrassment if you get caught.


describes four different things I've done just today
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Re: The Hardeep War

Postby Votanic on Mon Dec 04, 2023 2:17 am

This Sikh guy (separatist?, extremist?, terrorist? turban-wearing?) probably mor eor less like India's version of Osama-Bin Laden.
The US (and Canada?) probably aren't that deeply offended, but since it did make the news, there will probably have to be some public chiding.
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