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Is the world rebuking the US dollar?

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Is the world rebuking the US dollar?

Postby HitRed on Fri Apr 12, 2024 6:36 am

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Re: Is the world rebuking the US dollar?

Postby riskllama on Sun Apr 14, 2024 11:53 pm

I'm sure a lot of countries would love to, but don't really wanna end up like Iraq, Libya et al... :?
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Re: Is the world rebuking the US dollar?

Postby bigtoughralf on Mon Apr 15, 2024 6:40 am

The US dollar is slowly losing its status as the world's reserve currency. Pre-2008 something like 75% of global foreign exchange reserves were USD, now it's a little under 60%.

It's not that people have some sort of specific problem with the dollar. It's just that US exports are a smaller share of international trade than they used to be, and at the same time it's increasingly easy to trade using a wider range of other nations's currencies, without needing to first convert those currencies to dollars.

China would need to liberalise its control of the Renminbi if it wanted to displace the dollar as the world's primary reserve currency, but if it did then it eventually would.
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Re: Is the world rebuking the US dollar?

Postby mookiemcgee on Mon Apr 15, 2024 4:01 pm

bigtoughralf wrote:The US dollar is slowly losing its status as the world's reserve currency. Pre-2008 something like 75% of global foreign exchange reserves were USD, now it's a little under 60%.

it's true!

bigtoughralf wrote:It's not that people have some sort of specific problem with the dollar. It's just that US exports are a smaller share of international trade than they used to be, and at the same time it's increasingly easy to trade using a wider range of other nations's currencies, without needing to first convert those currencies to dollars.

True, especially the second half

bigtoughralf wrote:China would need to liberalise its control of the Renminbi if it wanted to displace the dollar as the world's primary reserve currency, but if it did then it eventually would.


lolololol, i was beginning to wonder if this was really a ralf post but then you added this.
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Re: Is the world rebuking the US dollar?

Postby bigtoughralf on Mon Apr 15, 2024 4:23 pm

China made up 30-40% of the entire world's GDP until the Opium Wars. Imperialism might have burst that bubble for a century or so but the seesaw is already tipping rapidly back in China's direction:

Click image to enlarge.
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It's inevitable.
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Re: Is the world rebuking the US dollar?

Postby mookiemcgee on Mon Apr 15, 2024 6:16 pm

bigtoughralf wrote:China made up 30-40% of the entire world's GDP until the Opium Wars. Imperialism might have burst that bubble for a century or so but the seesaw is already tipping rapidly back in China's direction:

Click image to enlarge.
image


It's inevitable.


I thought we were talking about currencies not GDP? China's share of global GDP is surely likely to continue to grow, but the idea that France and the USA are going to start trading using the Yuan is a little far fetched no?
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Re: Is the world rebuking the US dollar?

Postby bigtoughralf on Tue Apr 16, 2024 2:02 am

I never said they would. I'm talking about which currency will be the primary reserve currency, not the only reserve currency (which no currency has ever been).
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